Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.217643 1.503674 1.817929 2.185822 2.601719 3.054461 3.581692
2025-05-25 0.824852 1.199766 1.655081 2.235142 2.941048 3.759546 4.767436
2025-06-01 0.611928 1.041725 1.613743 2.396433 3.406084 4.633345 6.206005
2025-06-08 0.425728 0.861337 1.499114 2.434222 3.706438 5.317867 7.453184
2025-06-15 0.327240 0.775884 1.489689 2.596862 4.166576 6.216833 9.000381
2025-06-22 0.242091 0.681974 1.444468 2.693443 4.533267 7.003621 10.429784
2025-06-29 0.171999 0.587418 1.375562 2.738171 4.819686 7.686720 11.740386
2025-07-06 0.110947 0.481387 1.261780 2.692377 4.961982 8.169727 12.792547
2025-07-13 0.075669 0.416026 1.205189 2.726368 5.216066 8.808472 14.064170
2025-07-20 0.049759 0.358030 1.148198 2.748447 5.446202 9.414321 15.300115
2025-07-27 0.027977 0.290995 1.053942 2.689673 5.539428 9.819524 16.262198
2025-08-03 0.014483 0.236421 0.971095 2.637932 5.634564 10.223791 17.225887
2025-08-10 0.007533 0.201466 0.927789 2.659244 5.855635 10.830204 18.504411
2025-08-17 0.002630 0.159130 0.849626 2.599668 5.934272 11.222602 19.485431
2025-08-24 0.001313 0.147203 0.856386 2.716340 6.321654 12.096916 21.181302
2025-08-31 0.000300 0.123152 0.815744 2.725147 6.517578 12.678497 22.460197
2025-09-07 0.000109 0.118922 0.841507 2.883182 6.986166 13.696241 24.396762
2025-09-14 0.000010 0.108179 0.839779 2.977530 7.341738 14.542667 26.092858
2025-09-21 NaN 0.093690 0.817421 3.020488 7.603151 15.243973 27.583266
2025-09-28 NaN 0.073354 0.759108 2.968951 7.683820 15.655386 28.644865
2025-10-05 NaN 0.062527 0.737338 3.003947 7.927488 16.333116 30.115114
2025-10-12 NaN 0.052404 0.712387 3.026835 8.146738 16.973217 31.534975
2025-10-19 NaN 0.039129 0.657906 2.963667 8.193194 17.328048 32.523769